Trump
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Trump Bump Price Action Setups: Gold, Bitcoin, EUR/USD, SPX
It’s been a fast-evolving market since the Presidential election three weeks ago. But stocks remain higher, Bitcoin has put in a major move and gold is on its back foot.
AUD slammed on Trump tariffs, even though we’ve seen this movie before
True to his campaign promise, Trump is playing hardball with tariffs. But will he deliver, or is this simply a classic Trump-bargaining chip? Regardless, AUD/USD is getting caught up in the headlines.
Yields, gold slump on Trump Treasury pick, ceasefire deal
It's not every day you see gold plunge alongside yields. But that is what Monday served on reports of a potential ceasefire in Gaza and Trump's picking a relatively 'safe pair of hands' for the US Treasury Secretary role. With a prominent swing high on gold, I suspect it could be headed much lower from here.
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Bitcoin Pauses as Fed Mulls a December Pause – Cryptoasset Weekly Update (November 17, 2024)
Bitcoin is showing signs of fading bullish momentum, hinting at pullback potential before another leg higher.
Bitcoin Forecast: Is the Rally Losing its Steam?
Bitcoin Forecast: After the DXY pulled back from the 107-mark, Bitcoin retraced to the 86,000 level, reflecting a slight cooling in Trump-driven market momentum. Is the 100,000 mark still within reach?
USD, yields jolted as Fed hesitant to be ‘over-easy’ ahead of Trump 2.0
The expected 25 cut was delivered. But the Fed were understandably cautious regarding future cuts, given they don't know which or how many of Trump’s inflationary policies will see the day of light. And that means the current pullback on the USD and yields could be limited.
USD/JPY, yields reaccelerate on Fed pushback, Trump's electoral resurgence
With Trump leading in some polls and Fed members continuing to push back against a faster pace of easing, bond traders were quick to send yields and therefor the USD higher. USD/JPY now has 152 within sight.
US politics, PCE inflation, PMIs, BOC: The Week Ahead
Whether it is Biden stepping aside or Trump grabbing headlines with policy hints, it is difficult to see US politics taking a back seat next week. Fed watchers have the US PCE inflation report to look forward to, and global central bank watchers have flash PMIs. The BOC are expected to cut rates, but will they signal more next week?
Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises with Trump & Fed Powell in focus
U.S. stocks point to a higher start as traders assess the implications of an assassination attempt on former U.S. President Donald Trump and ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell later today. Earnings are also in focus with numbers from Goldman Sachs and BalackRock.
USD/JPY takes 161, Bond yields rise on prospects of Trump round 2
Another day, another handle for USD/JPY which rose to a fresh multi-decade higher. Bond yields also continued to rally after the Biden-Trump debate, which has markets concerned that a more inflationary presidency under Trump seems the more likely outcome.
USD/JPY toys with fresh 38-year high ahead of PCE, Trump, Biden in focus
Japan’s officials would like to think they have slowed the decline of the yen to a degree on Thursday, following their latest threats of intervention. However, traders could simply be taking a cautious approach ahead of Friday’s US inflation report, which is keeping USD/JPY just below its 38-year high.
European Open: Trump announces presidential rerun, NATO in focus
We knew it was coming, but now it is official. Trump will run for the Whitehouse once more. But perhaps more pressing is today’s emergency NATO meeting.
European Open: Trump announces “big announcement” on mid-term eve
I think we all know what the big announcement will be (and no, it likely won’t be the release of his tax returns).
Celebrity stocks: how celebrities impact the stock market
When celebrities invest, it causes speculators to go into overdrive, but the relationship works both ways. When celebrities show negative feelings toward a company, it can send the markets reeling. Find out more about the celebrity stock phenomenon.
What will it mean for the US Dollar if Senate passes extra stimulus? DXY, EUR/USD
If the bill is passed, the US Dollar should continue to weaken
Currency pair of the week: EUR/USD
Just as with Europe, a crisis (Brexit) has been averted in the US (stimulus package)
Biden Has Officially Won – What’s Next for Traders?
We can look at the moves we’ve seen since election night as a harbinger of the short-term trends to expect in the coming days and weeks
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Election 2020: Key Outstanding States to Watch and What the Market Reaction Means
With no clear answer on election night, see the timelines for key states and our interpretation of the market's reaction
LIVE BLOG: 2020 Election Results and Analysis
Be sure to refresh this page throughout the election to get the latest insights from our global analyst team!
Election 2020: Links to Review ALL of Our Election Analysis
See our full suite of election-focused articles to prepare for our Election Night Live Blog!
Election 2020: A State-by-State and Hour-by-Hour Playbook
See the schedule of key states and races traders will be watching on Election Night!
Election 2020: Final “State of the Race” and What’s Priced In to Markets?
If you expect a close, highly-contested result where neither candidate concedes, there may be more potential for a volatile, downside move in global equity markets and risk-sensitive currencies.
Final Debate Recap: Top Three Trading Takeaways from a More Civil Conversation
See our top 3 takeaways from last night's final Presidential debate, including why it may be too little, too late to shift the race meaningfully...