USD JPY

We may have seen an important swing low on the yen looking at the change of speculative market positioning. And that could see a much deeper pullback on USD/JPY.

A bullish breakout in US bonds has sent USD/JPY tumbling below 150, with payrolls now poised to decide whether the yen’s surge gains momentum or fizzles out. Could this be the pivotal moment for bond markets and the Fed's rate path?

USDJPY Forecast: Friday's rise in Tokyo CPI from 1.8% to 2.2% drove USDJPY below the critical 150 level. A pivotal week of US economic data ahead, including ISM PMIs and Non-Farm Payrolls, is set to heighten volatility risks for the pair.

USD/JPY is tumbling, breaking through its 200-day moving average after Tokyo’s inflation data shocked to the upside. With US Treasury yields losing steam and thin markets amplifying moves, traders are eyeing a deeper downside flush. Could the yen’s resurgence have more room to run?

After USD/JPY’s dramatic plunge, the focus shifts to what’s next. Is this just the beginning of further downside, or could a rally toward the 200-day moving average provide fresh opportunities for shorts? Here's what signals from US Treasuries reveal on near-term directional risks.

USD/JPY trades to a fresh monthly low (150.46) as it gives back the advance following the US election.

USD/JPY bears have gone to work over the past two weeks, holding a lower-high even as USD spiked last Friday. And then forcing a breakdown from the descending triangle formation to test below the 151.95 level.

While traders pushed net-long exposure to the USD to a 20-week high, there is also been a notable pickup of long yen bets. They're also piling into EUR/USD shorts, which is why I continue to suspect USD/JPY and EUR/USD may converge and move lower.

USD/JPY's rally faces a critical test as diminishing Fed rate bets threaten to stall the relentless rise in US bond yields. With key data and FOMC minutes on tap, could this be the week the bulls lose their grip?

The decline in USD/JPY may curb the threat of a currency intervention as the rally following the US election seems to be unraveling.

Traders are now pricing in 50/50 odds for both a BOJ rate hike and a Fed rate cut in December, setting USD/JPY up for volatility around key economic reports.

The USD index defied the 3-day retracement that dared to defy its bullish trend and now appears on the cusp of a breakout. While this could signify EUR/USD dropping below 105, it may also equate to a bullish breakout on USD/JPY.

Yen weakness has hung around and USD/JPY and GBP/JPY both retain bullish appeal. But for those looking for Yen-strength, perhaps in anticipation of next month’s policy review from the BoJ, EUR/JPY could hold greater attraction.

The focus for the USD/JPY is now turning to the potential for intervention from Japan. The USD/JPY is now inside the intervention zone between 155.00 to 160.00, where we saw a couple of manipulation efforts from Japanese authorities in the summer. Against this risk, the USD/JPY outlook is far from certain despite the ongoing strong bullish trend.

US Dollar reversed off technical resistance last week with USD/JPY now testing initial trend support. Battle lines drawn on the USD/JPY short-term technical charts.

USD/JPY may further retrace the decline from the yearly high (161.95) as BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda insists that ‘monetary policy will continue to firmly support economic activity.’