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EURUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Inflation Data and Holiday Volatility

EURUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Eurozone inflation data is in focus as EURUSD hovers near two-year lows. Meanwhile, irregular market volatility surrounding Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Year is poised to dominate headlines, alongside key US economic data and Federal Reserve rate expectations in early December.

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November 28, 2024 03:48 AM
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US Dollar Snaps Back, USD/JPY Descending Triangle Breakdown

USD/JPY bears have gone to work over the past two weeks, holding a lower-high even as USD spiked last Friday. And then forcing a breakdown from the descending triangle formation to test below the 151.95 level.

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Trump Bump Price Action Setups: Gold, Bitcoin, EUR/USD, SPX

It’s been a fast-evolving market since the Presidential election three weeks ago. But stocks remain higher, Bitcoin has put in a major move and gold is on its back foot.

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US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Report Preview (OCT 2024)

The update to the US PCE index is anticipated to show a rise in both the headline and core reading.

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By : David Song
November 26, 2024 11:00 AM

Crude Oil, GBPJPY Forecast: Ceasefire Potential, Trump Tariffs, and Inflation Rates

Crude Oil, GBPJPY Forecast: The lingering effects of Trump-era policies continue to shape broader market trends. Expectations of war resolutions are pressuring oil prices into a neutral stance, while tariff policies are fueling volatility across the US dollar rally.

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Crude Oil Week Ahead: Upside Risk and Wars vs Sunday's OPEC Meeting

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Crude oil’s 4-year support level has amplified its importance as supply disruption risks rise again amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Meanwhile, OPEC’s upcoming meeting on Sunday could reshape production quotas and influence market dynamics.

Canadian Dollar Technical Forecast: USD/CAD 1.4000 Test After 4-Year Highs

USD/CAD tested above a major level last week of 1.4000, which hadn’t traded in more than four years. So far this week sellers have sunk price back below that level, but can they hold it into week and month-end?

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US Dollar Technical Forecast: USD Trump Rally Breaks Yearly Range

US Dollar surged 6.9% off the yearly low with the Trump rally fueling a breakout of the 2023 consolidation pattern. Battle lines drawn on the weekly technical chart.

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US Dollar, EUR/USD React at Range Extremes as Gold Recovery Goes Higher

The US Dollar has finally found some resistance after filling the FOMC gap from last year, and that goes along with a EUR/USD bounce from the 1.0500 psychological level.

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EUR/USD Defends 1.0500 After USD, DXY Finishes FOMC Gap

It’s been a fast first-half of Q4 for both the US Dollar and EUR/USD and both are now showing a case of RSI divergence from the daily chart.

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November 15, 2024 02:15 PM
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USD/CAD 1.40, USD/JPY 155, Dollar Domination Continues to DXY Gap

The US Dollar has continued its rally after Trump’s win and last week’s FOMC rate decision, and DXY is now testing some unfilled gap from last November’s FOMC meeting.

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US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Trump Bump Extends into Resistance

The post-election rally has extended more than 2.7% off the monthly low with USD now testing major resistance. Battle lines drawn on the DXY short-term technical charts.

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US Dollar to Range Resistance, EUR/USD to Support, USD/CAD 1.4000

The USD rally has continued and DXY is nearing some key points of range resistance. EUR/USD is tanking and 1.0500 is the next logical spot of support potential. But it’s USD/CAD with the 1.4000 level that’s of interest for USD pullback scenarios.

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US CPI Preview: Inflation Uptick Potential after Trump Election, Red Wave

The Fed is seen as nearly 50/50 to cut interest rates again in December after Donald Trump and the Republicans secured a “Red Wave” last week - see what to expect from US CPI!

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US Consumer Price Index (CPI) Preview (OCT 2024)

The update to the US CPI is anticipated to show the headline reading widening to 2.6% in October from 2.4% per annum the month prior.

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By : David Song
November 12, 2024 10:55 AM

USD/CAD Still Holds Below Monthly High Following Dovish Fed Rate Cut

USD/CAD still holds below the monthly high (1.3959) as the Federal Reserve delivers a dovish rate-cut.

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By : David Song
November 7, 2024 05:00 PM
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US Dollar Technical Forecast: USD Trump Rally Halted Ahead of Fed

US Dollar surged nearly 5.3% off the yearly low with the Trump election rally failing at major resistance. Battle lines drawn on the weekly technical chart into the Fed.

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Federal Reserve Rate Decision Preview (NOV 2024)

The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver a 25bp rate cut in November.

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By : David Song
November 6, 2024 03:25 PM
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Bitcoin the Big Winner, USD and Stocks Surge on Trump Victory

Markets are making big moves on the back of Trump’s win and if House results confirm a Republican supermajority, there could be drive for even further highs in stocks and Bitcoin. The US Dollar, however…

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US Dollar Forecast: USD/JPY Vulnerable to Looming Fed Rate Cut

USD/JPY appears to be reversing ahead of the October high (153.88) as the Federal Reserve is anticipated to deliver a 25bp rate-cut following the US election.

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By : David Song
November 5, 2024 03:15 PM
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EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD, S&P 500: US Dollar Price Action into the Election

The US Dollar is pulling back on election day and the currency is no longer overbought on the daily chart. In this webinar I looked at several election-related setups and in this article I look at a few of those in USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPY and USD/CAD.

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USD/CAD Reverses Ahead of 2022 High with Fed Rate Decision on Tap

USD/CAD appears to be reversing ahead of the 2022 high (1.3978) as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falls back from overbought territory.

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By : David Song
November 4, 2024 03:20 PM
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US Elections, Fed, USD Majors, Gold, Oil Weekly Technical Outlook

Sr. Technical Strategist Michael Boutros highlights the levels that matter on the USD Majors, commodities & stocks into US Elections / FOMC rate decision this week.